Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brett Eskildsen
Brett Eskildsen

Player breakdown

Brett Eskildsen

Iowa State · 2027 Draft Class

6-1200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Iowa StateBig 121321708.51.3
2025Iowa StateBig 121230526517.543.8
Career2532543517.021.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.266
Recruit dominator synergy+0.266
Class YPR rank: top 13% — elite per-target efficiency+0.252

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.164
-32.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.717
Improvement accelerating (+29.9) — getting better faster each year-0.528

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)