Player breakdown
Brett Swain
San Diego St. · 2008 Draft Class
6-1190 lbs7th round, 217th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
5%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | GNB | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2010 | GNB | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 12 | 0 | 4.5 |
| 2011 | SFO | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 3 |
| Career | 27 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 87 | 10.9 | 0 | 3.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | San Diego State | MWC | 10 | 13 | 104 | 0 | 8 | 10.4 |
| 2005 | San Diego State | MWC | 10 | 15 | 288 | 1 | 19.2 | 28.8 |
| 2006 | San Diego State | MWC | 12 | 47 | 528 | 2 | 11.2 | 44 |
| 2007 | San Diego State | MWC | 12 | 58 | 973 | 5 | 16.8 | 81.1 |
| Career | 44 | 133 | 1,893 | 8 | 14.2 | 43.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.441
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.186
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.352
-11.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.578
Improvement accelerating (+8.4) — getting better faster each year-0.574