Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Roydell Williams
Roydell Williams

Player breakdown

Roydell Williams

Tulane · 2005 Draft Class

6-4202 lbs4th round, 136th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005TEN102392129914.2229.9
2006TEN14021812115.108.6
2007TEN1614935571913.1444.9
2010WAS16018810913.606.8
Career5616171921,24813.6622.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000TulaneCUSA112633821330.7
2001TulaneCUSA12568861115.873.8
2002TulaneCUSA315151110.150.3
2003TulaneCUSA12661,006915.283.8
2004TulaneCUSA10528261215.982.6
2021AlabamaSEC10557111.45.7
2022AlabamaSEC1353707.42.8
2023AlabamaSEC14115815.34.1
2024Florida StateACC454609.211.5
2025Florida StateACC721909.52.7
Career962433,4243714.135.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

40%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.251
0.73 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.228
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.188

Top Negative Factors

+10.8 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.690
Physical production synergy-0.405
Improvement accelerating (+2.0) — getting better faster each year-0.354

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)