Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brian Robiskie
Brian Robiskie

Player breakdown

Brian Robiskie

Ohio St. · 2009 Draft Class

6-3209 lbs2nd round, 36th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

52%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009CLE11120710615.109.6
2010CLE1411492931010.7322.1
2011CLE6293258.304.2
2012DET6064441117.3
2013ATL10100000
Career3814854348511.3412.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2005Ohio StateBig Ten121130131.1
2006Ohio StateBig Ten1329383513.229.5
2007Ohio StateBig Ten1355935111771.9
2008Ohio StateBig Ten1342535812.741.2
Career511271,8662414.736.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

50%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.274
Physical production synergy+0.383
1.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.277

Top Negative Factors

-19.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.759
Improvement accelerating (+70.9) — getting better faster each year-0.349
Recruit dominator synergy-0.228

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)