
Player breakdown
Ted Ginn Jr.
Ohio St. · 2007 Draft Class
5-11178 lbs1st round, 9th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | MIA | 16 | 9 | 71 | 34 | 420 | 12.4 | 2 | 26.3 |
| 2008 | MIA | 16 | 14 | 93 | 56 | 790 | 14.1 | 2 | 49.4 |
| 2009 | MIA | 16 | 12 | 78 | 38 | 454 | 11.9 | 1 | 28.4 |
| 2010 | SFO | 13 | 0 | 35 | 12 | 163 | 13.6 | 1 | 12.5 |
| 2011 | SFO | 14 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 220 | 11.6 | 0 | 15.7 |
| 2012 | SFO | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| 2013 | CAR | 16 | 2 | 68 | 36 | 556 | 15.4 | 5 | 34.8 |
| 2014 | ARI | 16 | 0 | 26 | 14 | 190 | 13.6 | 0 | 11.9 |
| 2015 | CAR | 15 | 13 | 97 | 44 | 739 | 16.8 | 10 | 49.3 |
| 2016 | CAR | 16 | 8 | 95 | 54 | 752 | 13.9 | 4 | 47 |
| 2017 | NOR | 15 | 10 | 70 | 53 | 787 | 14.8 | 4 | 52.5 |
| 2018 | NOR | 5 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 209 | 12.3 | 2 | 41.8 |
| 2019 | NOR | 16 | 9 | 56 | 30 | 421 | 14 | 2 | 26.3 |
| 2020 | CHI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Career | 193 | 83 | 760 | 412 | 5,742 | 13.9 | 33 | 29.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 25 | 359 | 2 | 14.4 | 29.9 |
| 2005 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 51 | 803 | 4 | 15.7 | 66.9 |
| 2006 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13 | 59 | 781 | 9 | 13.2 | 60.1 |
| Career | 37 | 135 | 1,943 | 15 | 14.4 | 52.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.168
BMI 24.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (178 lbs)+0.208
Team averaged 25.2 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.154
Top Negative Factors
+0.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.736
Physical production synergy-0.576
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.343