Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ted Ginn Jr.
Ted Ginn Jr.

Player breakdown

Ted Ginn Jr.

Ohio St. · 2007 Draft Class

5-11178 lbs1st round, 9th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2007MIA169713442012.4226.3
2008MIA1614935679014.1249.4
2009MIA1612783845411.9128.4
2010SFO130351216313.6112.5
2011SFO143331922011.6015.7
2012SFO1302210.500.1
2013CAR162683655615.4534.8
2014ARI160261419013.6011.9
2015CAR1513974473916.81049.3
2016CAR168955475213.9447
2017NOR1510705378714.8452.5
2018NOR53301720912.3241.8
2019NOR169563042114226.3
2020CHI60634013.306.7
Career193837604125,74213.93329.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004Ohio StateBig Ten1225359214.429.9
2005Ohio StateBig Ten1251803415.766.9
2006Ohio StateBig Ten1359781913.260.1
Career371351,9431514.452.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.168
BMI 24.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (178 lbs)+0.208
Team averaged 25.2 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.154

Top Negative Factors

+0.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.736
Physical production synergy-0.576
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.343

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)