Player breakdown
Brock Spalding
East Carolina · 2026 Draft Class
5-11193 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | East Carolina | American | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 2023 | East Carolina | American | 12 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 8.3 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | East Carolina | American | 7 | 5 | 71 | 0 | 14.2 | 10.1 |
| 2025 | East Carolina | American | 13 | 42 | 554 | 3 | 13.2 | 42.6 |
| Career | 33 | 51 | 655 | 3 | 12.8 | 19.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.445
5.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.267
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.200
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.208
-34.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.744
Improvement accelerating (+109.8) — getting better faster each year-0.541