Player breakdown
Brody Foley
Tulsa · 2026 Draft Class
6-6260 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulsa | American | 11 | 37 | 528 | 7 | 14.3 | 48 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.860
47.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.281
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.256
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.669
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.498
Physical production synergy-0.382