Player breakdown
Diontae Johnson
Toledo · 2019 Draft Class
5-10183 lbs3rd round, 66th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
81%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | PIT | 16 | 12 | 92 | 59 | 680 | 11.5 | 5 | 42.5 |
| 2020 | PIT | 15 | 13 | 144 | 88 | 923 | 10.5 | 7 | 61.5 |
| 2021 | PIT | 16 | 14 | 169 | 107 | 1,161 | 10.9 | 8 | 72.6 |
| 2022 | PIT | 17 | 17 | 147 | 86 | 882 | 10.3 | 0 | 51.9 |
| 2023 | PIT | 13 | 11 | 87 | 51 | 717 | 14.1 | 5 | 55.2 |
| 2024 | 3TM | 12 | 8 | 67 | 33 | 375 | 11.4 | 3 | 31.3 |
| 2024 | CAR | 7 | 7 | 58 | 30 | 357 | 11.9 | 3 | 51 |
| 2024 | BAL | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | HOU | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| Career | 101 | 83 | 773 | 457 | 5,113 | 11.2 | 31 | 50.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Toledo | MAC | 11 | 14 | 237 | 3 | 16.9 | 21.5 |
| 2017 | Toledo | MAC | 14 | 74 | 1,278 | 13 | 17.3 | 91.3 |
| 2018 | Toledo | MAC | 13 | 49 | 761 | 8 | 15.5 | 58.5 |
| Career | 38 | 137 | 2,276 | 24 | 16.6 | 59.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
74%
ML model output
Context Prob
88%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 18% — elite per-target efficiency+0.268
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (183 lbs)+0.209
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.208
Top Negative Factors
+7.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.727
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.564
Improvement accelerating (+4.4) — getting better faster each year-0.372