Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brooks Foster
Brooks Foster

Player breakdown

Brooks Foster

North Carolina · 2009 Draft Class

6-0211 lbs5th round, 160th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006North CarolinaACC1238486212.840.5
2007North CarolinaACC1129417214.437.9
2008North CarolinaACC1330334211.125.7
Career36971,237612.834.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.712
Recruit dominator synergy+0.516
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.79x — route-running independent of system+0.183

Top Negative Factors

-21.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.766
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.455
Physical production synergy-0.418

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)