Player breakdown
Bub Means
Pittsburgh · 2024 Draft Class
6-1212 lbs5th round, 170th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
74%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NOR | 7 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 118 | 13.1 | 1 | 16.9 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Louisiana Tech | CUSA | 11 | 22 | 430 | 2 | 19.5 | 39.1 |
| 2022 | Pitt | ACC | 13 | 27 | 401 | 2 | 14.9 | 30.8 |
| 2023 | Pitt | ACC | 12 | 41 | 721 | 6 | 17.6 | 60.1 |
| Career | 36 | 90 | 1,552 | 10 | 17.2 | 43.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
43%
ML model output
Context Prob
87%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.251
Recruit dominator synergy+0.469
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.230
Top Negative Factors
-11.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.749
0.32 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.368
Physical production synergy-0.319