Player breakdown
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
South Florida · 2018 Draft Class
6-4206 lbs5th round, 174th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | GNB | 16 | 10 | 73 | 38 | 581 | 15.3 | 2 | 36.3 |
| 2019 | GNB | 16 | 10 | 56 | 26 | 452 | 17.4 | 2 | 28.3 |
| 2020 | GNB | 16 | 12 | 63 | 33 | 690 | 20.9 | 6 | 43.1 |
| 2021 | GNB | 11 | 7 | 55 | 26 | 430 | 16.5 | 3 | 39.1 |
| 2022 | KAN | 17 | 11 | 81 | 42 | 687 | 16.4 | 2 | 40.4 |
| 2023 | KAN | 16 | 10 | 42 | 21 | 315 | 15 | 1 | 19.7 |
| 2024 | 2TM | 14 | 8 | 44 | 19 | 411 | 21.6 | 4 | 29.4 |
| 2024 | BUF | 6 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 4.3 |
| 2024 | NOR | 8 | 8 | 35 | 17 | 385 | 22.6 | 4 | 48.1 |
| 2025 | 2TM | 10 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 120 | 8.6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2025 | SFO | 5 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 2025 | PIT | 5 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 80 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| Career | 140 | 78 | 516 | 252 | 4,217 | 16.7 | 26 | 30.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | North Carolina State | ACC | 7 | 22 | 281 | 0 | 12.8 | 40.1 |
| 2014 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 22 | 257 | 1 | 11.7 | 19.8 |
| 2016 | South Florida | American | 13 | 22 | 415 | 5 | 18.9 | 31.9 |
| 2017 | South Florida | American | 12 | 53 | 879 | 6 | 16.6 | 73.3 |
| Career | 45 | 119 | 1,832 | 12 | 15.4 | 40.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
8
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.517
Class YPR rank: top 13% — elite per-target efficiency+0.246
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (206 lbs)+0.190
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.461
-4.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.730
Improvement accelerating (+2.1) — getting better faster each year-0.305