Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cade Harris
Cade Harris

Player breakdown

Cade Harris

Air Force · 2026 Draft Class

5-8185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Air ForceMWC4245122.511.3
2023Air ForceMWC135179135.813.8
2024Air ForceMWC122336821630.7
2025Air ForceMWC1235584216.748.7
Career41651,176618.128.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

41%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.434
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.215
BMI 28.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (185 lbs)+0.204

Top Negative Factors

-23.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.775
Improvement accelerating (+12.0) — getting better faster each year-0.597
Physical production synergy-0.484

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)