Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Darius Slayton
Darius Slayton

Player breakdown

Darius Slayton

Auburn · 2019 Draft Class

6-1190 lbs5th round, 171st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019NYG149844874015.4852.9
2020NYG1615965075115346.9
2021NYG135582633913226.1
2022NYG1611714672415.7245.3
2023NYG1713795077015.4445.3
2024NYG1613713957314.7235.8
2025NYG1412633753814.5138.4
Career106785222964,43515.02241.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016AuburnSEC1315292119.522.5
2017AuburnSEC1329643522.249.5
2018AuburnSEC1235670519.155.8
Career38791,6051120.342.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

47%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.224
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.214
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.94 — elite recruit at elite school+0.200

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.337
-12.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.590
Physical production synergy-0.489

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)