Player breakdown
Caleb Goodie
Cincinnati · 2026 Draft Class
6-1170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Colorado State | MWC | 9 | 1 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | Colorado State | MWC | 11 | 21 | 436 | 4 | 20.8 | 39.6 |
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 12 | 29 | 484 | 2 | 16.7 | 40.3 |
| Career | 32 | 51 | 919 | 6 | 18.0 | 28.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
30%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.122
Recruit dominator synergy+0.515
Class YPR rank: top 15% — elite per-target efficiency+0.269
Top Negative Factors
-11.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
Improvement accelerating (+485.0) — getting better faster each year-0.533
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.431