Player breakdown
Carlos Hernandez
Wake Forest · 2026 Draft Class
6-0170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
5%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 12 | 24 | 258 | 0 | 10.8 | 21.5 |
| 2024 | Washington State | Ind | 8 | 31 | 397 | 5 | 12.8 | 49.6 |
| 2025 | Wake Forest | ACC | 13 | 40 | 611 | 3 | 15.3 | 47 |
| Career | 33 | 95 | 1,266 | 8 | 13.3 | 38.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.457
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.257
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.211
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.163
-4.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.728
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.403