Player breakdown
Carlton Mitchell
South Florida · 2010 Draft Class
6-3215 lbs6th round, 177th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | CLE | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2011 | CLE | 11 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 2.8 |
| Career | 16 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 1.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | South Florida | Big East | 13 | 37 | 537 | 4 | 14.5 | 41.3 |
| 2008 | South Florida | Big East | 13 | 28 | 405 | 1 | 14.5 | 31.2 |
| 2009 | South Florida | Big East | 11 | 40 | 706 | 4 | 17.7 | 64.2 |
| Career | 37 | 105 | 1,648 | 9 | 15.7 | 44.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
87%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.468
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.259
BMI 26.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (215 lbs)+0.154
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.547
-11.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
Physical production synergy-0.420