Player breakdown
Cataurus Hicks
Pitt · 2026 Draft Class
5-9160 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Louisville | ACC | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 5.5 |
| 2024 | Louisville | ACC | 12 | 12 | 149 | 0 | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| 2025 | Pitt | ACC | 13 | 24 | 422 | 4 | 17.6 | 32.5 |
| Career | 27 | 37 | 582 | 4 | 15.7 | 21.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
22%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.094
Recruit dominator synergy+0.503
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.244
Top Negative Factors
-18.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Improvement accelerating (+37.4) — getting better faster each year-0.559
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.388