Player breakdown
Cayden Lee
Ole Miss · 2026 Draft Class
5-11175 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10 | 5 | 114 | 2 | 22.8 | 11.4 |
| 2024 | Ole Miss | SEC | 13 | 57 | 874 | 2 | 15.3 | 67.2 |
| 2025 | Ole Miss | SEC | 15 | 44 | 635 | 3 | 14.4 | 42.3 |
| Career | 38 | 106 | 1,623 | 7 | 15.3 | 42.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.069
Recruit dominator synergy+0.471
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.89 — elite recruit at elite school+0.200
Top Negative Factors
-9.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
Improvement accelerating (+6.7) — getting better faster each year-0.555
0.18 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.486