Player breakdown
Paul Richardson
Colorado · 2014 Draft Class
6-0175 lbs2nd round, 45th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | SEA | 15 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 271 | 9.3 | 1 | 18.1 |
| 2015 | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| 2016 | SEA | 15 | 0 | 36 | 21 | 288 | 13.7 | 1 | 19.2 |
| 2017 | SEA | 16 | 13 | 80 | 44 | 703 | 16 | 6 | 43.9 |
| 2018 | WAS | 7 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 262 | 13.1 | 2 | 37.4 |
| 2019 | WAS | 10 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 245 | 8.8 | 2 | 24.5 |
| Career | 64 | 29 | 238 | 143 | 1,809 | 12.7 | 12 | 28.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Colorado | Big 12 | 12 | 34 | 514 | 6 | 15.1 | 42.8 |
| 2011 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 9 | 39 | 555 | 5 | 14.2 | 61.7 |
| 2013 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 12 | 83 | 1,343 | 10 | 16.2 | 111.9 |
| Career | 33 | 156 | 2,412 | 21 | 15.5 | 73.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.494
33.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.322
BMI 23.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (175 lbs)+0.250
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.649
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.417
Improvement accelerating (+1.6) — getting better faster each year-0.252