Player breakdown
Chad Hansen
California · 2017 Draft Class
6-2202 lbs4th round, 141st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
46%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | NYJ | 15 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 94 | 10.4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 2020 | HOU | 5 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 236 | 13.9 | 1 | 47.2 |
| Career | 20 | 3 | 41 | 26 | 330 | 12.7 | 1 | 16.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | California | Pac-12 | 10 | 19 | 249 | 1 | 13.1 | 24.9 |
| 2016 | California | Pac-12 | 10 | 92 | 1,249 | 11 | 13.6 | 124.9 |
| Career | 20 | 111 | 1,498 | 12 | 13.5 | 74.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
44%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.274
0.60 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.202
BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (202 lbs)+0.193
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.570
Improvement accelerating (+4.0) — getting better faster each year-0.354
Recruit dominator synergy-0.229