Player breakdown
Torrey Smith
Maryland · 2011 Draft Class
6-1204 lbs2nd round, 58th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
82%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | BAL | 16 | 14 | 95 | 50 | 841 | 16.8 | 7 | 52.6 |
| 2012 | BAL | 16 | 16 | 110 | 49 | 855 | 17.4 | 8 | 53.4 |
| 2013 | BAL | 16 | 16 | 137 | 65 | 1,128 | 17.4 | 4 | 70.5 |
| 2014 | BAL | 16 | 16 | 92 | 49 | 767 | 15.7 | 11 | 47.9 |
| 2015 | SFO | 16 | 12 | 62 | 33 | 663 | 20.1 | 4 | 41.4 |
| 2016 | SFO | 12 | 12 | 49 | 20 | 267 | 13.4 | 3 | 22.3 |
| 2017 | PHI | 16 | 14 | 67 | 36 | 430 | 11.9 | 2 | 26.9 |
| 2018 | CAR | 11 | 6 | 31 | 17 | 190 | 11.2 | 2 | 17.3 |
| Career | 119 | 106 | 643 | 319 | 5,141 | 16.1 | 41 | 43.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Maryland | ACC | 13 | 24 | 336 | 2 | 14 | 25.8 |
| 2009 | Maryland | ACC | 12 | 61 | 824 | 5 | 13.5 | 68.7 |
| 2010 | Maryland | ACC | 13 | 67 | 1,055 | 12 | 15.7 | 81.2 |
| Career | 38 | 152 | 2,215 | 19 | 14.6 | 58.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
87%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.334
Recruit dominator synergy+0.336
33.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.332
Top Negative Factors
+2.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.707
Efficiency composite: 0.63 — average combined efficiency-0.209
Improvement accelerating (+2.1) — getting better faster each year-0.179