Player breakdown
Chad Jackson
Florida · 2006 Draft Class
6-1213 lbs2nd round, 36th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~41
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
43%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | NWE | 12 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 152 | 11.7 | 3 | 12.7 |
| 2008 | DEN | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 4.8 |
| Career | 16 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 171 | 12.2 | 3 | 10.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 12.7 | 2.9 |
| 2004 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 29 | 648 | 6 | 22.3 | 54 |
| 2005 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 88 | 900 | 9 | 10.2 | 75 |
| Career | 37 | 120 | 1,586 | 16 | 13.2 | 42.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.397
2.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.270
BMI 28.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (213 lbs)+0.240
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.496
-13.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.581
Improvement accelerating (+22.7) — getting better faster each year-0.339