Player breakdown
Chad Owens
Hawaii · 2005 Draft Class
5-7183 lbs6th round, 185th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
61%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | JAX | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2006 | JAX | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2007 | JAX | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Hawaii | WAC | 10 | 5 | 57 | 1 | 11.4 | 5.7 |
| 2002 | Hawaii | WAC | 10 | 47 | 550 | 2 | 11.7 | 55 |
| 2003 | Hawaii | WAC | 11 | 85 | 1,134 | 9 | 13.3 | 103.1 |
| 2004 | Hawaii | WAC | 13 | 102 | 1,290 | 17 | 12.6 | 99.2 |
| Career | 44 | 239 | 3,031 | 29 | 12.7 | 68.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
60%
ML model output
Context Prob
63%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.290
5.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.249
0.66 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.192
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+21.6) — getting better faster each year-0.529
Physical production synergy-0.417
Recruit dominator synergy-0.221