Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chansi Stuckey
Chansi Stuckey

Player breakdown

Chansi Stuckey

Clemson · 2007 Draft Class

5-11197 lbs7th round, 235th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

40%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008NYJ152453235911.2323.9
20092TM153663031810.6221.2
2009NYJ43261112010.9130
2009CLE110401919810.4118
2010CLE16563403468.7021.6
2011ARI9084399.804.3
Career70132481361,38010.1719.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2003ClemsonACC7210051.4
2004ClemsonACC925280011.231.1
2005ClemsonACC126477041264.2
2006ClemsonACC105070031470
Career381411,760712.546.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

83%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.262
1.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.290
BMI 27.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.169

Top Negative Factors

-8.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.746
0.18 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.458
Improvement accelerating (+76.0) — getting better faster each year-0.428

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)