Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Charone Peake
Charone Peake

Player breakdown

Charone Peake

Clemson · 2016 Draft Class

6-2209 lbs7th round, 241st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

32%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016NYJ15135191869.8012.4
2017NYJ30113301
2018NYJ130322512.501.9
Career31139222149.706.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011ClemsonACC14471017.85.1
2012ClemsonACC132517226.913.2
2013ClemsonACC2884110.542
2014ClemsonACC712129210.818.4
2015ClemsonACC1550716514.347.7
Career51991,1721011.823.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

71%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.155
Recruit dominator synergy+0.368
5.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.275

Top Negative Factors

-33.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.773
0.20 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.493
Improvement accelerating (+9.1) — getting better faster each year-0.431

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)