Player breakdown
Chase Claypool
Notre Dame · 2020 Draft Class
6-4238 lbs2nd round, 49th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | PIT | 16 | 6 | 109 | 62 | 873 | 14.1 | 9 | 54.6 |
| 2021 | PIT | 15 | 13 | 105 | 59 | 860 | 14.6 | 2 | 57.3 |
| 2022 | 2TM | 15 | 11 | 79 | 46 | 451 | 9.8 | 1 | 30.1 |
| 2022 | PIT | 8 | 8 | 50 | 32 | 311 | 9.7 | 1 | 38.9 |
| 2022 | CHI | 7 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 140 | 10 | 0 | 20 |
| 2023 | 2TM | 12 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 77 | 9.6 | 1 | 6.4 |
| 2023 | CHI | 3 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | 1 | 17 |
| 2023 | MIA | 9 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | 0 | 2.9 |
| Career | 85 | 45 | 414 | 229 | 2,789 | 12.2 | 15 | 32.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Notre Dame | Ind | 11 | 5 | 81 | 0 | 16.2 | 7.4 |
| 2017 | Notre Dame | Ind | 12 | 29 | 402 | 2 | 13.9 | 33.5 |
| 2018 | Notre Dame | Ind | 13 | 50 | 639 | 4 | 12.8 | 49.2 |
| 2019 | Notre Dame | Ind | 13 | 66 | 1,037 | 13 | 15.7 | 79.8 |
| Career | 49 | 150 | 2,159 | 19 | 14.4 | 44.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
66%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.143
7.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.297
BMI 29.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (238 lbs)+0.213
Top Negative Factors
-12.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.750
Physical production synergy-0.468
Improvement accelerating (+11.8) — getting better faster each year-0.459