Player breakdown
Chase Hendricks
Ohio · 2026 Draft Class
6-0200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Ohio | MAC | 13 | 11 | 108 | 0 | 9.8 | 8.3 |
| 2024 | Ohio | MAC | 14 | 40 | 471 | 1 | 11.8 | 33.6 |
| 2025 | Ohio | MAC | 13 | 71 | 1,037 | 7 | 14.6 | 79.8 |
| Career | 40 | 122 | 1,616 | 8 | 13.2 | 40.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
8.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.283
BMI 27.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (200 lbs)+0.161
53.2 conference-adjusted ypg — SEC/Big Ten players penalized less than spread teams+0.153
Top Negative Factors
-14.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.755
Improvement accelerating (+8.6) — getting better faster each year-0.589
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.587