Player breakdown
Chauncy Cobb
Arkansas State · 2026 Draft Class
5-6163 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| 2025 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 13 | 73 | 797 | 1 | 10.9 | 61.3 |
| Career | 15 | 74 | 801 | 1 | 10.8 | 53.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.446
2.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.271
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.223
Top Negative Factors
+2.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.714
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.639
Improvement accelerating (+198.2) — getting better faster each year-0.553