Player breakdown
Chaz Schilens
San Diego St. · 2008 Draft Class
6-4185 lbs7th round, 226th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
2%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | OAK | 16 | 6 | 32 | 15 | 226 | 15.1 | 2 | 14.1 |
| 2009 | OAK | 8 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 365 | 12.6 | 2 | 45.6 |
| 2010 | OAK | 5 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 2011 | OAK | 15 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 271 | 11.8 | 2 | 18.1 |
| 2012 | NYJ | 15 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 289 | 10.3 | 2 | 19.3 |
| Career | 59 | 25 | 168 | 100 | 1,191 | 11.9 | 9 | 20.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | San Diego State | MWC | 12 | 34 | 441 | 2 | 13 | 36.8 |
| 2006 | San Diego State | MWC | 12 | 34 | 483 | 2 | 14.2 | 40.3 |
| 2007 | San Diego State | MWC | 8 | 35 | 679 | 3 | 19.4 | 84.9 |
| Career | 32 | 103 | 1,603 | 7 | 15.6 | 50.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.408
BMI 22.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (185 lbs)+0.182
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output+0.123
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.405
-2.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.574
Physical production synergy-0.452