Player breakdown
Chris Barnes
Wake Forest · 2028 Draft Class
5-8155 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~44
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
4%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | New Mexico State | Big West | 11 | 8 | 72 | 0 | 9 | 6.5 |
| 2002 | Boston College | Big East | 6 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | Washington State | Ind | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.5 | 6.3 |
| 2025 | Wake Forest | ACC | 11 | 39 | 547 | 3 | 14 | 49.7 |
| Career | 31 | 51 | 660 | 3 | 12.9 | 21.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.451
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.236
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.198
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.176
-1.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.708
Improvement accelerating (+27.8) — getting better faster each year-0.548