Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Riley Cooper
Riley Cooper

Player breakdown

Riley Cooper

Florida · 2010 Draft Class

6-3222 lbs5th round, 159th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010PHI13218711616.618.9
2011PHI163351631519.7119.7
2012PHI115472324810.8322.5
2013PHI1615844783517.8852.2
2014PHI1616955557710.5336.1
2015PHI1613412132715.6220.4
Career88543201692,41814.31827.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006FloridaSEC134923237.1
2007FloridaSEC108182322.818.2
2008FloridaSEC1418261314.518.6
2009FloridaSEC1451961918.868.6
Career51811,4961818.529.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

76%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

7.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.241
BMI 27.8 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (222 lbs)+0.230
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.203

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.186
-27.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.598
Physical production synergy-0.481

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)