Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Hakeem Nicks
Hakeem Nicks

Player breakdown

Hakeem Nicks

North Carolina · 2009 Draft Class

6-1212 lbs1st round, 29th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

91%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009NYG146744779016.8656.4
2010NYG1312128791,05213.31180.9
2011NYG1515133761,19215.7779.5
2012NYG13111005369213.1353.2
2013NYG15151015689616059.7
2014IND166683840510.7425.3
2015NYG62147547.709
Career92676183565,08114.33155.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006North CarolinaACC1139660416.960
2007North CarolinaACC1274958512.979.8
2008North CarolinaACC13681,222121894
Career361812,8402115.778.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

93%

ML model output

Context Prob

82%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical production synergy+0.490
41.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.325
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.252

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.385
Recruit dominator synergy-0.240
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.27x — route-running independent of system-0.153

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)