
Player breakdown
Hakeem Nicks
North Carolina · 2009 Draft Class
6-1212 lbs1st round, 29th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
91%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | NYG | 14 | 6 | 74 | 47 | 790 | 16.8 | 6 | 56.4 |
| 2010 | NYG | 13 | 12 | 128 | 79 | 1,052 | 13.3 | 11 | 80.9 |
| 2011 | NYG | 15 | 15 | 133 | 76 | 1,192 | 15.7 | 7 | 79.5 |
| 2012 | NYG | 13 | 11 | 100 | 53 | 692 | 13.1 | 3 | 53.2 |
| 2013 | NYG | 15 | 15 | 101 | 56 | 896 | 16 | 0 | 59.7 |
| 2014 | IND | 16 | 6 | 68 | 38 | 405 | 10.7 | 4 | 25.3 |
| 2015 | NYG | 6 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 54 | 7.7 | 0 | 9 |
| Career | 92 | 67 | 618 | 356 | 5,081 | 14.3 | 31 | 55.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | North Carolina | ACC | 11 | 39 | 660 | 4 | 16.9 | 60 |
| 2007 | North Carolina | ACC | 12 | 74 | 958 | 5 | 12.9 | 79.8 |
| 2008 | North Carolina | ACC | 13 | 68 | 1,222 | 12 | 18 | 94 |
| Career | 36 | 181 | 2,840 | 21 | 15.7 | 78.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
93%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.490
41.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.325
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.252
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.385
Recruit dominator synergy-0.240
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.27x — route-running independent of system-0.153