Player breakdown
Chris Harper
Kansas St. · 2013 Draft Class
6-1229 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | NWE | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.2 |
| 2016 | SFO | 9 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 133 | 10.2 | 0 | 14.8 |
| Career | 14 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 139 | 9.9 | 0 | 9.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 12 | 9 | 122 | 2 | 13.6 | 10.2 |
| 2010 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 13 | 25 | 330 | 4 | 13.2 | 25.4 |
| 2011 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 13 | 40 | 547 | 5 | 13.7 | 42.1 |
| 2012 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 13 | 58 | 857 | 3 | 14.8 | 65.9 |
| 2012 | California | Pac-12 | 12 | 41 | 544 | 2 | 13.3 | 45.3 |
| 2013 | California | Pac-12 | 11 | 70 | 852 | 5 | 12.2 | 77.5 |
| 2014 | California | Pac-12 | 12 | 52 | 634 | 6 | 12.2 | 52.8 |
| Career | 86 | 295 | 3,886 | 27 | 13.2 | 45.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.250
BMI 30.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (229 lbs)+0.197
44.5 career ypg — limited college production+0.141
Top Negative Factors
-12.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Physical production synergy-0.578
Improvement accelerating (+6.0) — getting better faster each year-0.421