Player breakdown
Chris Marshall
Boise State · 2026 Draft Class
6-3211 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6 | 11 | 108 | 0 | 9.8 | 18 |
| 2024 | Boise State | MWC | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| 2025 | Boise State | MWC | 11 | 30 | 574 | 2 | 19.1 | 52.2 |
| Career | 21 | 44 | 695 | 2 | 15.8 | 33.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.398
3.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.273
Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.249
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.377
-16.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.723
Improvement accelerating (+4.3) — getting better faster each year-0.473