Player breakdown
Chris Moore
Cincinnati · 2016 Draft Class
6-1206 lbs4th round, 107th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | BAL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 46 | 6.6 | 0 | 3.1 |
| 2017 | BAL | 13 | 4 | 38 | 18 | 248 | 13.8 | 3 | 19.1 |
| 2018 | BAL | 16 | 0 | 25 | 19 | 196 | 10.3 | 1 | 12.3 |
| 2019 | BAL | 14 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | HOU | 12 | 1 | 22 | 21 | 227 | 10.8 | 2 | 18.9 |
| 2022 | HOU | 16 | 7 | 74 | 48 | 548 | 11.4 | 2 | 34.3 |
| 2023 | TEN | 17 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 424 | 19.3 | 0 | 24.9 |
| 2025 | WAS | 14 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 207 | 18.8 | 1 | 14.8 |
| Career | 117 | 23 | 238 | 149 | 1,917 | 12.9 | 9 | 16.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Cincinnati | Big East | 12 | 4 | 113 | 2 | 28.3 | 9.4 |
| 2013 | Cincinnati | American | 13 | 45 | 645 | 9 | 14.3 | 49.6 |
| 2014 | Cincinnati | American | 13 | 30 | 673 | 8 | 22.4 | 51.8 |
| 2015 | Cincinnati | American | 12 | 40 | 870 | 7 | 21.8 | 72.5 |
| Career | 50 | 119 | 2,301 | 26 | 19.3 | 46.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
17%
ML model output
Context Prob
56%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.171
Recruit dominator synergy+0.474
Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.219
Top Negative Factors
-9.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Physical production synergy-0.512
Improvement accelerating (+6.7) — getting better faster each year-0.500