Player breakdown
Chris Reed
Sam Houston · 2026 Draft Class
6-1190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston | CUSA | 12 | 30 | 460 | 5 | 15.3 | 38.3 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.863
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.276
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.181
Top Negative Factors
-16.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.526
Physical production synergy-0.438