Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Christian Moss
Christian Moss

Player breakdown

Christian Moss

Kennesaw State · 2026 Draft Class

6-3199 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Virginia TechACC6671011.811.8
2024Kennesaw StateCUSA914203214.522.6
2025Kennesaw StateCUSA1445689215.349.2
Career2965963414.833.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.411
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.179
BMI 24.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (199 lbs)+0.153

Top Negative Factors

-15.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.725
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.604
Improvement accelerating (+8.7) — getting better faster each year-0.586

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)