Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cliff Russell
Cliff Russell

Player breakdown

Cliff Russell

Utah · 2002 Draft Class

5-11185 lbs3rd round, 87th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003WAS302210503.3
2004CIN13131212101.6
2006MIA302214704.7
2008DEN20200000
Career21195459.002.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000UtahMWC83751731464.6
2001UtahMWC115374441467.6
Career19901,261714.066.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.214
BMI 25.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (185 lbs)+0.152
66.4 career ypg — solid college production+0.141

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.466
0.37 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.291
+14.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.275

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)