Player breakdown
Collin Dixon
Illinois · 2027 Draft Class
6-1210 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Illinois | Big Ten | 13 | 18 | 264 | 0 | 14.7 | 20.3 |
| 2025 | Illinois | Big Ten | 13 | 35 | 548 | 5 | 15.7 | 42.2 |
| Career | 26 | 53 | 812 | 5 | 15.3 | 31.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.105
Recruit dominator synergy+0.448
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.193
Top Negative Factors
-24.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.721
0.19 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.469
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.384