Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cordarrelle Patterson
Cordarrelle Patterson

Player breakdown

Cordarrelle Patterson

Tennessee · 2013 Draft Class

6-2216 lbs1st round, 29th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013MIN166774546910.4429.3
2014MIN167673338411.6124
2015MIN1612210500.6
2016MIN16870524538.7228.3
2017OAK162423130910019.3
2018NWE155282124711.8316.5
2019CHI1641711837.505.2
2020CHI16325211326.308.3
Career127363282162,0879.71016.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012TennesseeSEC1246778516.964.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

87%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.687
Recruit dominator synergy+0.451
Class YPR rank: top 16% — elite per-target efficiency+0.247

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.376
+7.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.553
Accounted for 1.63 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.356

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)