Player breakdown
Corey Coleman
Baylor · 2016 Draft Class
5-11194 lbs1st round, 15th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | CLE | 10 | 10 | 73 | 33 | 413 | 12.5 | 3 | 41.3 |
| 2017 | CLE | 9 | 8 | 58 | 23 | 305 | 13.3 | 2 | 33.9 |
| 2018 | NYG | 8 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 71 | 14.2 | 0 | 8.9 |
| Career | 27 | 19 | 139 | 61 | 789 | 12.9 | 5 | 29.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12 | 35 | 527 | 2 | 15.1 | 43.9 |
| 2014 | Baylor | Big 12 | 10 | 64 | 1,119 | 11 | 17.5 | 111.9 |
| 2015 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12 | 74 | 1,363 | 20 | 18.4 | 113.6 |
| Career | 34 | 173 | 3,009 | 33 | 17.4 | 88.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
83%
ML model output
Context Prob
90%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.105
+34.1 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.302
BMI 27.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (194 lbs)+0.241
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.440
Recruit dominator synergy-0.262
Improvement accelerating (+1.6) — getting better faster each year-0.234