Player breakdown
Corey Davis
Western Michigan · 2017 Draft Class
6-3209 lbs1st round, 5th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
EliteAll-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
94%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | TEN | 11 | 9 | 65 | 34 | 375 | 11 | 0 | 34.1 |
| 2018 | TEN | 16 | 16 | 112 | 65 | 891 | 13.7 | 4 | 55.7 |
| 2020 | TEN | 14 | 12 | 92 | 65 | 984 | 15.1 | 5 | 70.3 |
| 2021 | NYJ | 9 | 9 | 59 | 34 | 492 | 14.5 | 4 | 54.7 |
| 2022 | NYJ | 13 | 10 | 64 | 32 | 536 | 16.8 | 2 | 41.2 |
| Career | 63 | 56 | 392 | 230 | 3,278 | 14.3 | 15 | 52.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Pitt | Big East | 13 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 12.8 | 4.9 |
| 2013 | Western Michigan | MAC | 11 | 67 | 941 | 6 | 14 | 85.5 |
| 2013 | Louisiana-Monroe | Sun Belt | 3 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 44 | 14.7 |
| 2014 | Western Michigan | MAC | 12 | 78 | 1,408 | 15 | 18.1 | 117.3 |
| 2015 | Western Michigan | MAC | 13 | 90 | 1,436 | 12 | 16 | 110.5 |
| 2016 | Western Michigan | MAC | 14 | 97 | 1,500 | 19 | 15.5 | 107.1 |
| Career | 66 | 338 | 5,393 | 52 | 16.0 | 81.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
92%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.182
Physical production synergy+0.459
Recruit dominator synergy+0.337
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+22.4) — getting better faster each year-0.476
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.378
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.238