Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Craig Bragg
Craig Bragg

Player breakdown

Craig Bragg

UCLA · 2005 Draft Class

6-1196 lbs6th round, 195th overallAge: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001UCLAPac-101129408214.137.1
2002UCLAPac-101355889816.268.4
2003UCLAPac-1013731,065514.681.9
2004UCLAPac-10936483413.453.7
Career461932,8451914.761.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (196 lbs)+0.224
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.145
Speed score 99.1 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.140

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.372
+7.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.567
Physical production synergy-0.553

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)