Player breakdown
Keary Colbert
USC · 2004 Draft Class
6-1207 lbs2nd round, 62nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | CAR | 15 | 15 | 92 | 47 | 754 | 16 | 5 | 50.3 |
| 2005 | CAR | 16 | 16 | 55 | 25 | 282 | 11.3 | 2 | 17.6 |
| 2006 | CAR | 12 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 2007 | CAR | 12 | 8 | 69 | 32 | 332 | 10.4 | 0 | 27.7 |
| 2008 | 2TM | 11 | 7 | 27 | 12 | 116 | 9.7 | 1 | 10.5 |
| 2008 | SEA | 7 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 1 | 7.4 |
| 2008 | DET | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 64 | 12.8 | 0 | 16 |
| 2011 | KAN | 7 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 89 | 9.9 | 0 | 12.7 |
| Career | 84 | 56 | 294 | 142 | 1,745 | 12.3 | 9 | 20.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | USC | Pac-10 | 12 | 33 | 480 | 3 | 14.5 | 40 |
| 2001 | USC | Pac-10 | 11 | 32 | 404 | 2 | 12.6 | 36.7 |
| 2002 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 71 | 1,029 | 5 | 14.5 | 79.2 |
| 2003 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 69 | 1,013 | 9 | 14.7 | 77.9 |
| Career | 49 | 205 | 2,926 | 19 | 14.3 | 59.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.185
BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (207 lbs)+0.199
Recruit dominator synergy+0.189
Top Negative Factors
+3.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.732
Physical production synergy-0.571
Improvement accelerating (+1.1) — getting better faster each year-0.360