
Player breakdown
DaeSean Hamilton
Penn St. · 2018 Draft Class
6-1203 lbs4th round, 113th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
47%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | DEN | 14 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 243 | 8.1 | 2 | 17.4 |
| 2019 | DEN | 16 | 2 | 52 | 28 | 297 | 10.6 | 1 | 18.6 |
| 2020 | DEN | 16 | 2 | 44 | 23 | 293 | 12.7 | 2 | 18.3 |
| Career | 46 | 9 | 141 | 81 | 833 | 10.3 | 5 | 18.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 82 | 899 | 2 | 11 | 69.2 |
| 2015 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 45 | 580 | 6 | 12.9 | 44.6 |
| 2016 | Penn State | Big Ten | 14 | 34 | 506 | 1 | 14.9 | 36.1 |
| 2017 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 53 | 857 | 9 | 16.2 | 65.9 |
| Career | 53 | 214 | 2,842 | 18 | 13.3 | 53.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
47%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.316
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.575
Recruit dominator synergy+0.274
Top Negative Factors
-2.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.724
Accounted for 1.81 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.395
0.34 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.373