Predicting the Pros
Predictions/DaeSean Hamilton
DaeSean Hamilton

Player breakdown

DaeSean Hamilton

Penn St. · 2018 Draft Class

6-1203 lbs4th round, 113th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

47%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2018DEN14545302438.1217.4
2019DEN162522829710.6118.6
2020DEN162442329312.7218.3
Career4691418183310.3518.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2014Penn StateBig Ten138289921169.2
2015Penn StateBig Ten1345580612.944.6
2016Penn StateBig Ten1434506114.936.1
2017Penn StateBig Ten1353857916.265.9
Career532142,8421813.353.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

47%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.316
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.575
Recruit dominator synergy+0.274

Top Negative Factors

-2.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.724
Accounted for 1.81 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.395
0.34 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.373

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)