Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dallas Baker
Dallas Baker

Player breakdown

Dallas Baker

Florida · 2007 Draft Class

6-3208 lbs7th round, 227th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008PIT80216600.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2003FloridaSEC1313209116.116.1
2004FloridaSEC1226410515.834.2
2005FloridaSEC1252697513.458.1
2006FloridaSEC14609201015.365.7
Career511512,2362114.843.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

61%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.396
BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (208 lbs)+0.193
Efficiency consistency: 1.09 — highly consistent across seasons+0.140

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.400
-12.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.582
Improvement accelerating (+3.4) — getting better faster each year-0.345

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)