Player breakdown
Dalton Stroman
Appalachian State · 2026 Draft Class
6-3179 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
17%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 |
| 2022 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 12 | 19 | 371 | 4 | 19.5 | 30.9 |
| 2023 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 14 | 20 | 390 | 3 | 19.5 | 27.9 |
| 2024 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 10 | 20 | 307 | 5 | 15.4 | 30.7 |
| 2025 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 13 | 35 | 666 | 4 | 19 | 51.2 |
| Career | 50 | 95 | 1,744 | 16 | 18.4 | 34.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.469
Class YPR rank: top 5% — elite per-target efficiency+0.243
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.174
Top Negative Factors
-17.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.774
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.613
Improvement accelerating (+65.6) — getting better faster each year-0.563