Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Damion Ratley
Damion Ratley

Player breakdown

Damion Ratley

Texas A&M · 2018 Draft Class

6th round, 175th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

44%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2018CLE133201314411.1011.1
2019CLE133241220016.7115.4
2020NYG501046315.8012.6
Career316542940714.0113.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015Texas A&MSEC1215200213.316.7
2016Texas A&MSEC112260132.4
2017Texas A&MSEC1330694623.153.4
Career3647920819.625.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

93%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.148
Recruit dominator synergy+0.317
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.236

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.752
Improvement accelerating (+2.5) — getting better faster each year-0.478
0.22 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.464

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)