Player breakdown
Mack Hollins
North Carolina · 2017 Draft Class
6-4221 lbs4th round, 118th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | PHI | 16 | 0 | 22 | 16 | 226 | 14.1 | 1 | 14.1 |
| 2019 | 2TM | 16 | 3 | 23 | 10 | 125 | 12.5 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 2019 | PHI | 12 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 125 | 12.5 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 2019 | MIA | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | MIA | 16 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 176 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
| 2021 | MIA | 17 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 223 | 15.9 | 4 | 13.1 |
| 2022 | LVR | 17 | 16 | 94 | 57 | 690 | 12.1 | 4 | 40.6 |
| 2023 | ATL | 13 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 251 | 13.9 | 0 | 19.3 |
| 2024 | BUF | 17 | 13 | 50 | 31 | 378 | 12.2 | 5 | 22.2 |
| 2025 | NWE | 15 | 13 | 65 | 46 | 550 | 12 | 2 | 36.7 |
| Career | 143 | 56 | 360 | 218 | 2,744 | 12.6 | 17 | 19.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | North Carolina | ACC | 13 | 35 | 613 | 8 | 17.5 | 47.2 |
| 2015 | North Carolina | ACC | 14 | 30 | 745 | 8 | 24.8 | 53.2 |
| 2016 | North Carolina | ACC | 7 | 16 | 309 | 4 | 19.3 | 44.1 |
| Career | 34 | 81 | 1,667 | 20 | 20.6 | 49.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
25%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.329
0.59 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.248
Class YPR rank: top 3% — elite per-target efficiency+0.238
Top Negative Factors
-7.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.775
Physical production synergy-0.422
Accounted for 1.83 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.363