Player breakdown
Dane Key
Nebraska · 2026 Draft Class
6-2190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.9M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
3%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Kentucky | SEC | 13 | 37 | 519 | 6 | 14 | 39.9 |
| 2023 | Kentucky | SEC | 13 | 42 | 636 | 6 | 15.1 | 48.9 |
| 2024 | Kentucky | SEC | 12 | 47 | 715 | 2 | 15.2 | 59.6 |
| 2025 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 13 | 39 | 452 | 5 | 11.6 | 34.8 |
| Career | 51 | 165 | 2,322 | 19 | 14.1 | 45.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.226
Improvement accelerating (+0.4) — getting better faster each year+0.198
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.91 — elite recruit at elite school+0.197
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.329
-19.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.552
Physical production synergy-0.384